Serie A
Como vs Napoli
Saturday, May 02, 16:00
Consensus
Low confidence · 37.0%Como
44.3%
Draw
39.3%
Napoli
16.3%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 40.8% | 36.4% | 22.8% |
| poisson | 49.1% | 42.9% | 8.0% |
| elo | 34.8% | 31.6% | 33.6% |
- Como wPPG 1.95 (home 2.50, W-D-D-W-W)
- Napoli wPPG 2.44 (away 1.80, W-W-W-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.36
- xG Como 0.78 vs Napoli 0.17
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Como 1610 vs Napoli 1664
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).