Serie A
Bologna vs Cagliari
Sunday, May 03, 10:30
Consensus
Low confidence · 49.4%Bologna
51.8%
Draw
22.3%
Cagliari
25.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 47.8% | 34.0% | 18.2% |
| poisson | 52.0% | 15.9% | 32.1% |
| elo | 52.2% | 23.3% | 24.6% |
- Bologna wPPG 0.89 (home 0.83, L-W-L-D-L)
- Cagliari wPPG 0.40 (away 0.50, L-D-L-D-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.60
- xG Bologna 3.29 vs Cagliari 2.65
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Bologna 1396 vs Cagliari 1326
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).