Serie A

Lazio vs Inter

Sunday, May 10, 13:00

Consensus

Low confidence · 41.1%
Lazio
49.4%
Draw
31.9%
Inter
18.6%

Per-model

ModelHomeDrawAway
form29.5%39.7%30.8%
poisson70.3%22.9%6.8%
elo31.1%29.2%39.7%
  • Lazio wPPG 1.76 (home 2.60, D-W-D-W-L)
  • Inter wPPG 2.20 (away 2.25, W-W-L-W-L)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.03
  • xG Lazio 1.52 vs Inter 0.27
  • League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
  • Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
  • Elo Lazio 1552 vs Inter 1655
  • Home-field bonus +60

Value bets

No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).

Predictions are statistical estimates, not financial advice. Bet responsibly.

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