Serie A
Milan vs Atalanta
Sunday, May 10, 13:00
Consensus
Low confidence · 29.9%Milan
40.3%
Draw
30.3%
Atalanta
29.4%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 33.3% | 38.9% | 27.8% |
| poisson | 49.9% | 24.8% | 25.3% |
| elo | 32.0% | 30.0% | 38.0% |
- Milan wPPG 1.94 (home 2.20, W-D-D-W-D)
- Atalanta wPPG 2.38 (away 2.00, W-W-L-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.11
- xG Milan 1.39 vs Atalanta 0.89
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Milan 1573 vs Atalanta 1663
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).