Serie A
Torino vs Inter
Sunday, Apr 26, 16:00
Consensus
Medium confidence · 61.3%Torino
17.0%
book 13.3%
Draw
21.1%
book 21.4%
Inter
61.9%
book 65.3%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 13.0% | 30.8% | 56.2% |
| poisson | 21.7% | 15.7% | 62.6% |
| elo | 22.1% | 21.1% | 56.8% |
| market | 13.3% | 21.4% | 65.3% |
- Torino wPPG 1.15 (home 1.40, L-D-W-W-D)
- Inter wPPG 2.20 (away 2.25, W-W-L-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.92
- xG Torino 1.74 vs Inter 2.93
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Torino 1431 vs Inter 1655
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
- home 7.00EV +19.3%Edge 3.8%Kelly 3.2%