Serie A
Milan vs Juventus
Sunday, Apr 26, 18:45
Consensus
Low confidence · 29.0%Milan
38.9%
book 36.8%
Draw
29.2%
book 27.9%
Juventus
31.8%
book 35.4%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 34.7% | 38.4% | 26.9% |
| poisson | 45.6% | 24.3% | 30.1% |
| elo | 35.8% | 31.1% | 33.1% |
| market | 36.8% | 27.9% | 35.4% |
- Milan wPPG 1.94 (home 2.20, W-D-D-W-D)
- Juventus wPPG 2.09 (away 2.00, D-D-W-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.16
- xG Milan 1.39 vs Juventus 1.07
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Milan 1573 vs Juventus 1619
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).