Serie A
Parma vs Pisa
Saturday, Apr 25, 13:00
Consensus
Low confidence · 49.1%Parma
50.0%
book 46.8%
Draw
26.0%
book 29.2%
Pisa
24.0%
book 24.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 49.7% | 33.3% | 17.0% |
| poisson | 52.5% | 19.6% | 27.8% |
| elo | 49.7% | 24.4% | 25.9% |
| market | 46.8% | 29.2% | 24.0% |
- Parma wPPG 1.05 (home 1.00, D-D-L-L-D)
- Pisa wPPG 0.68 (away 0.50, L-L-D-L-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.67
- xG Parma 2.03 vs Pisa 1.42
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Parma 1433 vs Pisa 1379
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).