Serie A
Genoa vs Como
Sunday, Apr 26, 13:00
Consensus
Medium confidence · 51.6%Genoa
21.8%
book 21.5%
Draw
25.9%
book 27.5%
Como
52.3%
book 51.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 18.1% | 33.9% | 48.0% |
| poisson | 21.8% | 20.6% | 57.6% |
| elo | 26.2% | 24.7% | 49.0% |
| market | 21.5% | 27.5% | 51.0% |
- Genoa wPPG 1.13 (home 1.33, W-L-L-D-L)
- Como wPPG 1.95 (away 1.67, W-D-D-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.61
- xG Genoa 1.01 vs Como 1.83
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Genoa 1441 vs Como 1610
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).