Premier League
Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur
Sunday, May 03, 18:00
Consensus
High confidence · 81.9%Aston Villa
87.6%
Draw
9.1%
Tottenham Hotspur
3.3%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 73.5% | 24.0% | 2.5% |
| poisson | 95.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| elo | 73.3% | 15.0% | 11.7% |
- Aston Villa wPPG 2.71 (home 3.00, W-W-W-W-W)
- Tottenham Hotspur wPPG 0.90 (away 0.80, D-L-L-L-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 2.10
- xG Aston Villa 4.87 vs Tottenham Hotspur 0.70
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Aston Villa 1669 vs Tottenham Hotspur 1410
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).