Premier League
Everton vs Manchester City
Monday, May 04, 19:00
Consensus
High confidence · 76.0%Everton
7.1%
Draw
17.3%
Manchester City
75.6%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 4.2% | 24.0% | 71.8% |
| poisson | 6.5% | 14.8% | 78.7% |
| elo | 14.0% | 15.0% | 71.0% |
- Everton wPPG 0.91 (home 1.40, L-L-D-W-L)
- Manchester City wPPG 2.55 (away 2.60, W-W-W-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -1.77
- xG Everton 0.42 vs Manchester City 2.16
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Everton 1394 vs Manchester City 1735
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).