Premier League
West Ham United vs Everton
Saturday, Apr 25, 14:00
Consensus
Low confidence · 48.7%West Ham United
49.3%
book 36.9%
Draw
26.3%
book 28.0%
Everton
24.4%
book 35.1%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 48.4% | 33.8% | 17.9% |
| poisson | 65.4% | 19.0% | 15.6% |
| elo | 43.9% | 27.2% | 28.9% |
| market | 36.9% | 28.0% | 35.1% |
- West Ham United wPPG 0.97 (home 1.20, L-L-W-W-D)
- Everton wPPG 0.91 (away 0.80, L-L-D-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.62
- xG West Ham United 1.95 vs Everton 0.80
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo West Ham United 1406 vs Everton 1394
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
- home 2.50EV +23.2%Edge 12.4%Kelly 15.5%