Premier League
Brentford vs West Ham United
Saturday, May 02, 14:00
Consensus
High confidence · 70.4%Brentford
70.8%
book 53.5%
Draw
17.7%
book 24.9%
West Ham United
11.5%
book 21.6%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 68.1% | 25.4% | 6.5% |
| poisson | 89.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| elo | 55.9% | 21.5% | 22.6% |
| market | 53.5% | 24.9% | 21.6% |
- Brentford wPPG 1.42 (home 2.33, W-L-W-L-W)
- West Ham United wPPG 0.97 (away 0.60, L-L-W-W-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.46
- xG Brentford 3.65 vs West Ham United 0.67
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Brentford 1503 vs West Ham United 1406
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
- home 1.75EV +24.0%Edge 17.4%Kelly 32.0%