Premier League
Fulham vs Aston Villa
Saturday, Apr 25, 11:30
Consensus
Low confidence · 24.5%Fulham
37.9%
book 35.4%
Draw
24.6%
book 26.6%
Aston Villa
37.5%
book 38.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 19.7% | 34.8% | 45.6% |
| poisson | 61.8% | 14.6% | 23.6% |
| elo | 27.3% | 25.7% | 47.1% |
| market | 35.4% | 26.6% | 38.0% |
- Fulham wPPG 1.57 (home 1.50, L-W-W-L-W)
- Aston Villa wPPG 2.71 (away 2.17, W-W-W-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.52
- xG Fulham 3.59 vs Aston Villa 2.33
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Fulham 1514 vs Aston Villa 1669
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).