Premier League
Wolverhampton vs Tottenham Hotspur
Saturday, Apr 25, 14:00
Consensus
Low confidence · 41.4%Wolverhampton
28.6%
book 25.7%
Draw
24.1%
book 25.7%
Tottenham Hotspur
47.3%
book 48.6%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 15.1% | 32.2% | 52.7% |
| poisson | 46.7% | 16.7% | 36.6% |
| elo | 25.1% | 23.8% | 51.1% |
| market | 25.7% | 25.7% | 48.6% |
- Wolverhampton wPPG 0.00 (home 0.00, L-L-L-L-L)
- Tottenham Hotspur wPPG 0.90 (away 0.80, D-L-L-L-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.78
- xG Wolverhampton 2.92 vs Tottenham Hotspur 2.61
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Wolverhampton 1227 vs Tottenham Hotspur 1410
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
- home 3.60EV +3.1%Edge 3.0%Kelly 1.2%