Premier League
Liverpool vs Chelsea
Saturday, May 09, 11:30
Consensus
Medium confidence · 60.7%Liverpool
61.3%
Draw
22.7%
Chelsea
16.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 54.5% | 31.5% | 14.0% |
| poisson | 68.1% | 18.2% | 13.8% |
| elo | 55.0% | 21.9% | 23.1% |
- Liverpool wPPG 1.96 (home 2.20, D-D-W-W-W)
- Chelsea wPPG 1.29 (away 1.29, D-L-W-W-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.85
- xG Liverpool 2.01 vs Chelsea 0.74
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Liverpool 1598 vs Chelsea 1507
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).