Ligue 1
Paris Saint-Germain vs Stade Brestois
Sunday, May 10, 19:00
Consensus
High confidence · 80.8%Paris Saint-Germain
85.1%
Draw
10.6%
Stade Brestois
4.4%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 73.7% | 24.0% | 2.3% |
| poisson | 92.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| elo | 73.2% | 15.0% | 11.8% |
- Paris Saint-Germain wPPG 2.17 (home 2.50, W-L-W-D-W)
- Stade Brestois wPPG 0.87 (away 0.80, D-L-L-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 2.15
- xG Paris Saint-Germain 5.48 vs Stade Brestois 1.33
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Paris Saint-Germain 1664 vs Stade Brestois 1407
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).