Ligue 1
RC Lens vs Nantes
Friday, May 08, 18:45
Consensus
High confidence · 78.3%RC Lens
77.7%
Draw
18.1%
Nantes
4.2%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 74.0% | 24.0% | 2.0% |
| poisson | 79.7% | 16.3% | 3.9% |
| elo | 74.5% | 15.0% | 10.5% |
- RC Lens wPPG 2.44 (home 3.00, W-D-W-W-W)
- Nantes wPPG 0.82 (away 1.00, L-L-W-L-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 2.26
- xG RC Lens 1.91 vs Nantes 0.21
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo RC Lens 1675 vs Nantes 1396
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).