Bundesliga
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 02, 16:30
Consensus
Medium confidence · 59.6%Bayer 04 Leverkusen
16.4%
Draw
20.5%
RB Leipzig
63.1%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 13.6% | 31.3% | 55.1% |
| poisson | 12.6% | 12.6% | 74.8% |
| elo | 27.4% | 25.8% | 46.8% |
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen wPPG 1.49 (home 1.00, W-L-W-L-D)
- RB Leipzig wPPG 2.01 (away 1.60, D-D-W-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.87
- xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.30 vs RB Leipzig 3.20
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1487 vs RB Leipzig 1641
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).