Bundesliga
SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg
Sunday, May 03, 17:30
Consensus
High confidence · 80.3%SC Freiburg
82.3%
Draw
14.3%
VfL Wolfsburg
3.5%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 74.0% | 24.0% | 2.0% |
| poisson | 88.0% | 9.4% | 2.6% |
| elo | 74.9% | 15.0% | 10.1% |
- SC Freiburg wPPG 1.90 (home 2.67, W-L-D-W-W)
- VfL Wolfsburg wPPG 0.26 (away 0.75, L-L-L-L-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 2.25
- xG SC Freiburg 2.61 vs VfL Wolfsburg 0.25
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo SC Freiburg 1574 vs VfL Wolfsburg 1285
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).