Bundesliga
TSG Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
Saturday, May 02, 13:30
Consensus
Low confidence · 42.9%TSG Hoffenheim
47.9%
Draw
26.3%
VfB Stuttgart
25.7%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 36.4% | 37.8% | 25.8% |
| poisson | 58.7% | 19.0% | 22.3% |
| elo | 41.7% | 28.2% | 30.1% |
- TSG Hoffenheim wPPG 1.86 (home 2.40, L-W-W-L-W)
- VfB Stuttgart wPPG 1.83 (away 2.17, D-W-L-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.22
- xG TSG Hoffenheim 2.09 vs VfB Stuttgart 1.20
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo TSG Hoffenheim 1600 vs VfB Stuttgart 1603
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).