Bundesliga
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin
Sunday, May 10, 17:30
Consensus
Low confidence · 37.0%1. FSV Mainz 05
23.4%
Draw
33.4%
1. FC Union Berlin
43.2%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 19.9% | 34.9% | 45.3% |
| poisson | 23.1% | 36.8% | 40.1% |
| elo | 27.9% | 26.3% | 45.8% |
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 wPPG 0.75 (home 1.00, L-D-W-L-D)
- 1. FC Union Berlin wPPG 1.48 (away 1.50, D-L-W-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.51
- xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 0.52 vs 1. FC Union Berlin 0.80
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo 1. FSV Mainz 05 1369 vs 1. FC Union Berlin 1515
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).