Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Saturday, May 09, 13:30

Consensus

Low confidence · 46.0%
VfB Stuttgart
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
25.0%

Per-model

ModelHomeDrawAway
form50.9%32.9%16.2%
poisson43.0%22.5%34.5%
elo58.4%20.3%21.3%
  • VfB Stuttgart wPPG 1.83 (home 1.75, D-W-L-W-L)
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen wPPG 1.49 (away 1.50, W-L-W-L-D)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.71
  • xG VfB Stuttgart 1.52 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.33
  • League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
  • Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
  • Elo VfB Stuttgart 1603 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1487
  • Home-field bonus +60

Value bets

No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).

Predictions are statistical estimates, not financial advice. Bet responsibly.

Made by MickeyGee.com with Pepsi Max and love.