Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg
Sunday, May 10, 13:30
Consensus
Medium confidence · 58.9%Hamburger SV
73.1%
Draw
15.4%
SC Freiburg
11.5%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 44.1% | 35.3% | 20.6% |
| poisson | 94.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| elo | 33.1% | 31.1% | 35.8% |
- Hamburger SV wPPG 1.34 (home 2.00, D-W-L-L-W)
- SC Freiburg wPPG 1.90 (away 1.00, W-L-D-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.47
- xG Hamburger SV 6.22 vs SC Freiburg 1.40
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Hamburger SV 1500 vs SC Freiburg 1574
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).