Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs SV Werder Bremen
Sunday, Apr 26, 13:30
Consensus
Medium confidence · 58.7%VfB Stuttgart
58.4%
book 58.9%
Draw
21.8%
book 22.6%
SV Werder Bremen
19.8%
book 18.5%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 56.9% | 30.6% | 12.6% |
| poisson | 56.9% | 16.8% | 26.2% |
| elo | 57.7% | 20.6% | 21.6% |
| market | 58.9% | 22.6% | 18.5% |
- VfB Stuttgart wPPG 1.83 (home 1.75, D-W-L-W-L)
- SV Werder Bremen wPPG 1.54 (away 1.00, W-L-L-W-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.94
- xG VfB Stuttgart 2.74 vs SV Werder Bremen 1.87
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo VfB Stuttgart 1603 vs SV Werder Bremen 1492
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).