LaLiga
Deportivo Alavés vs Mallorca
Saturday, Apr 25, 12:00
Consensus
Medium confidence · 54.0%Deportivo Alavés
53.3%
book 44.5%
Draw
26.8%
book 28.8%
Mallorca
19.8%
book 26.7%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 55.4% | 31.2% | 13.5% |
| poisson | 64.0% | 22.0% | 14.0% |
| elo | 47.2% | 25.6% | 27.2% |
| market | 44.5% | 28.8% | 26.7% |
- Deportivo Alavés wPPG 1.29 (home 1.75, L-W-D-L-W)
- Mallorca wPPG 1.34 (away 1.00, D-L-W-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.88
- xG Deportivo Alavés 1.63 vs Mallorca 0.58
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Deportivo Alavés 1519 vs Mallorca 1483
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
- home 2.10EV +12.0%Edge 8.8%Kelly 10.9%