LaLiga
Real Betis vs Real Madrid
Friday, Apr 24, 19:00
Consensus
Low confidence · 38.7%Real Betis
41.9%
book 25.2%
Draw
23.4%
book 24.5%
Real Madrid
34.7%
book 50.3%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 36.0% | 38.0% | 26.1% |
| poisson | 59.5% | 13.9% | 26.6% |
| elo | 48.9% | 24.8% | 26.3% |
| market | 25.2% | 24.5% | 50.3% |
- Real Betis wPPG 2.22 (home 2.00, W-W-W-L-W)
- Real Madrid wPPG 1.84 (away 2.00, W-L-L-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.20
- xG Real Betis 4.35 vs Real Madrid 3.11
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Real Betis 1627 vs Real Madrid 1579
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
- home 3.70EV +55.0%Edge 16.7%Kelly 20.4%