LaLiga
Osasuna vs Sevilla
Sunday, Apr 26, 16:30
Consensus
Low confidence · 30.1%Osasuna
35.4%
book 43.0%
Draw
26.7%
book 28.9%
Sevilla
37.9%
book 28.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 23.0% | 36.5% | 40.5% |
| poisson | 38.0% | 18.3% | 43.8% |
| elo | 30.3% | 28.4% | 41.3% |
| market | 43.0% | 28.9% | 28.0% |
- Osasuna wPPG 0.83 (home 1.00, L-W-L-L-L)
- Sevilla wPPG 1.65 (away 1.50, W-L-W-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.35
- xG Osasuna 2.17 vs Sevilla 2.33
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Osasuna 1409 vs Sevilla 1522
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
- away 3.30EV +25.0%Edge 9.8%Kelly 10.9%