LaLiga
Villarreal vs Celta Vigo
Sunday, Apr 26, 19:00
Consensus
Medium confidence · 69.8%Villarreal
69.7%
book 51.9%
Draw
17.3%
book 25.9%
Celta Vigo
13.0%
book 22.2%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 63.0% | 27.9% | 9.1% |
| poisson | 88.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% |
| elo | 62.4% | 18.4% | 19.2% |
| market | 51.9% | 25.9% | 22.2% |
- Villarreal wPPG 2.20 (home 2.25, W-W-L-W-W)
- Celta Vigo wPPG 1.38 (away 1.67, L-L-W-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.21
- xG Villarreal 5.43 vs Celta Vigo 1.67
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Villarreal 1649 vs Celta Vigo 1504
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
- home 1.80EV +25.4%Edge 17.8%Kelly 31.7%