LaLiga
Real Oviedo vs Elche
Sunday, Apr 26, 14:15
Consensus
Low confidence · 49.5%Real Oviedo
22.2%
book 41.2%
Draw
28.3%
book 28.9%
Elche
49.5%
book 29.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 16.8% | 33.2% | 50.0% |
| poisson | 8.2% | 22.5% | 69.4% |
| elo | 27.6% | 26.0% | 46.4% |
| market | 41.2% | 28.9% | 29.9% |
- Real Oviedo wPPG 0.47 (home 0.25, L-L-L-W-L)
- Elche wPPG 1.24 (away 1.00, W-L-D-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.68
- xG Real Oviedo 0.33 vs Elche 1.56
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Real Oviedo 1321 vs Elche 1471
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
- away 3.10EV +53.3%Edge 19.6%Kelly 25.4%