LaLiga

Deportivo Alavés vs Athletic Club

Saturday, May 02, 16:30

Consensus

Medium confidence · 57.5%
Deportivo Alavés
58.5%
Draw
28.0%
Athletic Club
13.5%

Per-model

ModelHomeDrawAway
form56.4%30.8%12.9%
poisson63.6%27.2%9.2%
elo49.1%24.7%26.2%
  • Deportivo Alavés wPPG 1.29 (home 1.75, L-W-D-L-W)
  • Athletic Club wPPG 1.50 (away 1.40, W-L-D-W-L)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.92
  • xG Deportivo Alavés 1.30 vs Athletic Club 0.30
  • League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
  • Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
  • Elo Deportivo Alavés 1519 vs Athletic Club 1470
  • Home-field bonus +60

Value bets

No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).

Predictions are statistical estimates, not financial advice. Bet responsibly.

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