LaLiga
Espanyol vs Real Madrid
Sunday, May 03, 19:00
Consensus
Low confidence · 40.5%Espanyol
28.7%
Draw
25.3%
Real Madrid
46.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 19.9% | 34.9% | 45.2% |
| poisson | 32.7% | 17.9% | 49.3% |
| elo | 31.9% | 29.9% | 38.2% |
- Espanyol wPPG 1.44 (home 1.40, W-L-D-D-L)
- Real Madrid wPPG 1.84 (away 2.00, W-L-L-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.51
- xG Espanyol 2.03 vs Real Madrid 2.49
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Espanyol 1488 vs Real Madrid 1579
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).