LaLiga

Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano

Sunday, May 03, 14:15

Consensus

Low confidence · 40.1%
Getafe
45.0%
Draw
31.7%
Rayo Vallecano
23.3%

Per-model

ModelHomeDrawAway
form40.7%36.4%22.9%
poisson48.1%31.4%20.5%
elo44.0%27.1%28.9%
  • Getafe wPPG 0.96 (home 1.00, L-D-D-L-L)
  • Rayo Vallecano wPPG 1.22 (away 1.17, D-L-D-W-L)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.36
  • xG Getafe 1.04 vs Rayo Vallecano 0.56
  • League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
  • Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
  • Elo Getafe 1477 vs Rayo Vallecano 1464
  • Home-field bonus +60

Value bets

No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).

Predictions are statistical estimates, not financial advice. Bet responsibly.

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