LaLiga
Valencia vs Atlético Madrid
Saturday, May 02, 14:15
Consensus
Medium confidence · 64.1%Valencia
13.6%
Draw
22.8%
Atlético Madrid
63.5%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 7.3% | 26.2% | 66.5% |
| poisson | 15.3% | 21.7% | 63.0% |
| elo | 21.4% | 20.4% | 58.2% |
- Valencia wPPG 0.90 (home 1.00, L-L-D-L-W)
- Atlético Madrid wPPG 2.43 (away 2.33, W-W-W-W-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -1.38
- xG Valencia 0.65 vs Atlético Madrid 1.67
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Valencia 1428 vs Atlético Madrid 1662
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).