LaLiga

Osasuna vs FC Barcelona

Saturday, May 02, 19:00

Consensus

High confidence · 76.4%
Osasuna
8.4%
Draw
14.6%
FC Barcelona
77.0%

Per-model

ModelHomeDrawAway
form4.9%24.0%71.1%
poisson8.6%10.0%81.4%
elo13.6%15.0%71.4%
  • Osasuna wPPG 0.83 (home 1.00, L-W-L-L-L)
  • FC Barcelona wPPG 2.85 (away 2.50, W-W-W-W-W)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -1.67
  • xG Osasuna 1.21 vs FC Barcelona 3.63
  • League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
  • Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
  • Elo Osasuna 1409 vs FC Barcelona 1757
  • Home-field bonus +60

Value bets

No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).

Predictions are statistical estimates, not financial advice. Bet responsibly.

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