LaLiga
Sevilla vs Real Sociedad
Monday, May 04, 19:00
Consensus
Low confidence · 45.5%Sevilla
23.5%
Draw
26.8%
Real Sociedad
49.6%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 19.0% | 34.4% | 46.6% |
| poisson | 21.8% | 20.6% | 57.6% |
| elo | 31.9% | 29.9% | 38.1% |
- Sevilla wPPG 1.65 (home 1.50, W-L-W-W-L)
- Real Sociedad wPPG 2.15 (away 2.17, W-W-W-D-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.56
- xG Sevilla 1.01 vs Real Sociedad 1.83
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Sevilla 1522 vs Real Sociedad 1613
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).