Ligue 1
Stade Brestois vs RC Lens
Friday, Apr 24, 18:45
Consensus
Medium confidence · 56.8%Stade Brestois
19.9%
book 20.8%
Draw
23.2%
book 25.0%
RC Lens
57.0%
book 54.2%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 9.8% | 28.5% | 61.8% |
| poisson | 28.9% | 20.2% | 50.9% |
| elo | 18.9% | 18.1% | 63.0% |
| market | 20.8% | 25.0% | 54.2% |
- Stade Brestois wPPG 0.87 (home 1.00, D-L-L-L-W)
- RC Lens wPPG 2.44 (away 2.00, W-D-W-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -1.15
- xG Stade Brestois 1.39 vs RC Lens 1.92
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Stade Brestois 1407 vs RC Lens 1675
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).