Ligue 1
Olympique de Marseille vs Nice
Sunday, Apr 26, 18:45
Consensus
High confidence · 73.8%Olympique de Marseille
71.5%
book 62.7%
Draw
18.5%
book 21.7%
Nice
10.0%
book 15.7%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 71.4% | 24.0% | 4.6% |
| poisson | 78.4% | 14.0% | 7.6% |
| elo | 72.4% | 15.0% | 12.6% |
| market | 62.7% | 21.7% | 15.7% |
- Olympique de Marseille wPPG 1.88 (home 1.67, L-W-W-W-D)
- Nice wPPG 0.97 (away 0.60, W-W-L-L-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.71
- xG Olympique de Marseille 2.32 vs Nice 0.53
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Olympique de Marseille 1613 vs Nice 1370
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
- home 1.50EV +7.3%Edge 8.9%Kelly 14.6%