Ligue 1
Metz vs AS Monaco
Saturday, May 02, 17:00
Consensus
Low confidence · 32.1%Metz
29.6%
Draw
28.8%
AS Monaco
41.6%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 16.9% | 33.2% | 49.9% |
| poisson | 41.8% | 26.3% | 31.9% |
| elo | 27.0% | 25.4% | 47.6% |
- Metz wPPG 0.55 (home 1.25, L-L-D-L-D)
- AS Monaco wPPG 1.39 (away 1.17, W-L-W-L-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.68
- xG Metz 1.20 vs AS Monaco 1.00
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Metz 1305 vs AS Monaco 1464
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).