Ligue 1

Lille vs Le Havre

Sunday, May 03, 13:00

Consensus

High confidence · 75.9%
Lille
82.7%
Draw
13.1%
Le Havre
4.3%

Per-model

ModelHomeDrawAway
form71.0%24.0%5.0%
poisson92.4%6.2%1.4%
elo62.0%18.6%19.4%
  • Lille wPPG 1.96 (home 3.00, W-L-L-W-W)
  • Le Havre wPPG 1.17 (away 1.00, L-W-L-D-D)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.66
  • xG Lille 3.04 vs Le Havre 0.20
  • League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
  • Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
  • Elo Lille 1593 vs Le Havre 1451
  • Home-field bonus +60

Value bets

No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).

Predictions are statistical estimates, not financial advice. Bet responsibly.

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