Ligue 1
RC Strasbourg vs Toulouse
Sunday, May 03, 15:15
Consensus
Medium confidence · 62.7%RC Strasbourg
62.6%
Draw
23.3%
Toulouse
14.2%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 59.0% | 29.7% | 11.3% |
| poisson | 67.2% | 20.5% | 12.3% |
| elo | 56.5% | 21.2% | 22.3% |
- RC Strasbourg wPPG 1.92 (home 2.17, W-W-L-W-L)
- Toulouse wPPG 1.16 (away 1.00, L-D-W-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.03
- xG RC Strasbourg 1.74 vs Toulouse 0.56
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo RC Strasbourg 1576 vs Toulouse 1475
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).