Ligue 1
Paris FC vs Stade Brestois
Sunday, May 03, 15:15
Consensus
Medium confidence · 51.7%Paris FC
53.9%
Draw
23.5%
Stade Brestois
22.7%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 44.3% | 35.2% | 20.5% |
| poisson | 61.4% | 17.0% | 21.6% |
| elo | 50.0% | 24.3% | 25.7% |
- Paris FC wPPG 1.26 (home 0.80, W-L-D-W-L)
- Stade Brestois wPPG 0.87 (away 0.80, D-L-L-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.48
- xG Paris FC 2.50 vs Stade Brestois 1.44
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Paris FC 1462 vs Stade Brestois 1407
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).