Ligue 1

Nice vs RC Lens

Saturday, May 02, 19:05

Consensus

High confidence · 71.6%
Nice
10.9%
Draw
18.7%
RC Lens
70.4%

Per-model

ModelHomeDrawAway
form6.5%25.3%68.3%
poisson11.7%16.8%71.5%
elo16.5%15.6%67.9%
  • Nice wPPG 0.97 (home 0.60, W-W-L-L-L)
  • RC Lens wPPG 2.44 (away 2.00, W-D-W-W-W)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -1.47
  • xG Nice 0.70 vs RC Lens 2.13
  • League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
  • Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
  • Elo Nice 1370 vs RC Lens 1675
  • Home-field bonus +60

Value bets

No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).

Predictions are statistical estimates, not financial advice. Bet responsibly.

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