MLB
Washington Nationals vs San Francisco Giants
Saturday, Apr 18, 20:05
Consensus
Medium confidence · 51.4%Washington Nationals
51.9%
book 50.0%
San Francisco Giants
48.1%
book 50.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 59.8% | 40.2% |
| poisson | 46.7% | 53.3% |
| elo | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| market | 50.0% | 50.0% |
- Washington Nationals wPPG 0.74 (home 1.50, L-L-W-W-L)
- San Francisco Giants wPPG 0.61 (away 0.60, L-L-L-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.25
- xG Washington Nationals 1.48 vs San Francisco Giants 1.60
- League avg: home 4.60 / away 4.40
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Washington Nationals 1386 vs San Francisco Giants 1408
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker Money line prices
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).