MLB
Los Angeles Angels vs San Diego Padres
Sunday, Apr 19, 01:38
Consensus
Medium confidence · 53.5%Los Angeles Angels
53.2%
book 49.0%
San Diego Padres
46.8%
book 51.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 64.5% | 35.5% |
| poisson | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| elo | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| market | 49.0% | 51.0% |
- Los Angeles Angels wPPG 1.14 (home 2.00, L-L-W-W-W)
- San Diego Padres wPPG 1.28 (away 1.00, W-D-W-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.37
- xG Los Angeles Angels 6.06 vs San Diego Padres 6.16
- League avg: home 4.60 / away 4.40
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Los Angeles Angels 1454 vs San Diego Padres 1476
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker Money line prices
Value bets
- home 1.95EV +3.7%Edge 4.2%Kelly 3.9%