MLB
Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers
Saturday, Apr 18, 23:15
Consensus
Medium confidence · 66.6%Seattle Mariners
65.7%
book 55.3%
Texas Rangers
34.3%
book 44.7%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 61.0% | 39.0% |
| poisson | 82.7% | 17.3% |
| elo | 53.7% | 46.3% |
| market | 55.3% | 44.7% |
- Seattle Mariners wPPG 1.38 (home 1.20, W-W-L-W-W)
- Texas Rangers wPPG 1.09 (away 0.00, L-W-L-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.28
- xG Seattle Mariners 6.82 vs Texas Rangers 3.65
- League avg: home 4.60 / away 4.40
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Seattle Mariners 1540 vs Texas Rangers 1575
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker Money line prices
Value bets
- home 1.74EV +14.3%Edge 10.4%Kelly 19.3%