MLB
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Toronto Blue Jays
Sunday, Apr 19, 00:10
Consensus
High confidence · 74.8%Arizona Diamondbacks
73.6%
book 57.4%
Toronto Blue Jays
26.4%
book 42.6%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 79.6% | 20.4% |
| poisson | 86.0% | 14.0% |
| elo | 69.8% | 30.2% |
| market | 57.4% | 42.6% |
- Arizona Diamondbacks wPPG 1.44 (home 1.86, W-D-W-W-L)
- Toronto Blue Jays wPPG 0.88 (away 1.20, L-W-L-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.85
- xG Arizona Diamondbacks 9.23 vs Toronto Blue Jays 4.37
- League avg: home 4.60 / away 4.40
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Arizona Diamondbacks 1577 vs Toronto Blue Jays 1492
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker Money line prices
Value bets
- home 1.67EV +22.9%Edge 16.2%Kelly 34.2%