WNBA
Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx
Wednesday, May 13, 02:00
Consensus
Low confidence · 49.9%Phoenix Mercury
48.0%
Minnesota Lynx
52.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 39.2% | 60.8% |
| normal | 55.8% | 44.2% |
| elo | 44.6% | 55.4% |
- Phoenix Mercury wPPG 0.93 (home 1.50, L-L-W-W-W)
- Minnesota Lynx wPPG 1.55 (away 2.40, W-L-W-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.27
- Expected score Phoenix Mercury 58.1 vs Minnesota Lynx 58.8
- Margin μ=1.74, σ=12
- P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 55.8%
- Elo Phoenix Mercury 1528 vs Minnesota Lynx 1625
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).