WNBA
Phoenix Mercury vs Chicago Sky
Saturday, May 16, 02:00
Consensus
High confidence · 89.6%Phoenix Mercury
91.1%
Chicago Sky
8.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 95.8% | 4.2% |
| normal | 89.6% | 10.4% |
| elo | 84.8% | 15.2% |
- Phoenix Mercury wPPG 0.93 (home 1.50, L-L-W-W-W)
- Chicago Sky wPPG 0.67 (away 0.60, L-W-L-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.95
- Expected score Phoenix Mercury 62.2 vs Chicago Sky 49.6
- Margin μ=15.13, σ=12
- P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 89.6%
- Elo Phoenix Mercury 1528 vs Chicago Sky 1289
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).