MLB
Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros
Monday, Apr 20, 22:10
Consensus
Medium confidence · 52.9%Cleveland Guardians
41.4%
Houston Astros
58.6%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 60.3% | 39.7% |
| poisson | 21.5% | 78.5% |
| elo | 60.9% | 39.1% |
- Cleveland Guardians wPPG 1.13 (home 1.50, L-W-W-L-L)
- Houston Astros wPPG 0.92 (away 1.50, L-W-W-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.26
- xG Cleveland Guardians 5.45 vs Houston Astros 9.57
- League avg: home 4.60 / away 4.40
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Cleveland Guardians 1465 vs Houston Astros 1448
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).