UEFA Europa League
SC Freiburg vs Sporting Braga
Thursday, May 07, 19:00
Consensus
Low confidence · 37.6%SC Freiburg
44.9%
Draw
30.2%
Sporting Braga
24.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 34.9% | 38.3% | 26.8% |
| poisson | 58.0% | 23.5% | 18.5% |
| elo | 33.7% | 31.7% | 34.5% |
- SC Freiburg wPPG 1.90 (home 2.67, W-L-D-W-W)
- Sporting Braga wPPG 2.15 (away 2.13, D-W-W-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.17
- xG SC Freiburg 1.52 vs Sporting Braga 0.71
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo SC Freiburg 1574 vs Sporting Braga 1638
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).